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PoliticsIndia

Exit Poll 2024: Modi Government Predicted for Third Term; NDA to Get 365 Seats, India Alliance 145 Seats; BJP Doubles in Odisha and Telangana

Giriraj Sharma
Last updated: June 3, 2024 1:35 am
By Giriraj Sharma
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Exit Poll 2024: Modi Government Predicted for Third Term; NDA to Get 365 Seats, India Alliance 145 Seats; BJP Doubles in Odisha and Telangana
Exit Poll 2024: Modi Government Predicted for Third Term; NDA to Get 365 Seats, India Alliance 145 Seats; BJP Doubles in Odisha and Telangana
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Exit Poll 2024: Before the results of the Lok Sabha elections, PM Modi is seen scoring a hat-trick for the third time in the exit polls. In one poll, NDA is reaching beyond 400. In the poll of polls of 13 exit polls, NDA is estimated to get 365 seats and India 145 seats. Others can get 32 ​​seats. This time BJP can cross the figure of 303 seats it got in 2019.

Almost all the exit polls that came before the results of the Lok Sabha elections have ‘guaranteed’ the return of the Modi government. The exit polls have predicted that the BJP alliance i.e. NDA will get 353 to 415 seats. According to the exit polls, even after 10 years, the massive wave of PM Modi is still there. Riding on his wave, the NDA will certainly cross its 2019 figure of 350. In this way, Modi will equal Nehru’s record with a hat-trick.

BJP is predicted to have a one-sided lead in the Hindi belt states of Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Delhi. BJP is expected to win more than 90% of the seats in these states. BJP is predicted to win 28 to 29 out of 29 seats in MP and 23 to 25 seats out of 25 seats in Rajasthan.

Contents
Table of ContentsThe end of Dravidian politics in Tamil Nadu?Now read the state wise seat estimates…BJP can double its seats in Odisha, Telangana, clean sweep in 8 statesUP Exit Poll: BJP will go ahead in UP from 2019  Bihar Exit Poll News: NDA’s seats will decrease in BiharExit Poll 2024 West Bengal: BJP will give a shock to Mamata in Bengal EXIT POLL OF MAHARASHTRABJP is surprising in Tamil NaduKarnataka EXIT POLLGujarat EXIT POLLEXIT POLL: BJP suffers loss in RajasthanTDP-BJP-Janasena wave in AndhraOdisha EXIT POLLKERALA EXIT POLLDadra-Nagar Haveli, Daman-Diu, Chandigarh, Puducherry, Andaman-Nicobar, Lakshadweep

Table of Contents

  • The end of Dravidian politics in Tamil Nadu?
  • Now read the state wise seat estimates…
  • BJP can double its seats in Odisha, Telangana, clean sweep in 8 states
    • UP Exit Poll: BJP will go ahead in UP from 2019  
    • Bihar Exit Poll News: NDA’s seats will decrease in Bihar
    • Exit Poll 2024 West Bengal: BJP will give a shock to Mamata in Bengal 
    • EXIT POLL OF MAHARASHTRA
    • BJP is surprising in Tamil Nadu
    • Karnataka EXIT POLL
    • Gujarat EXIT POLL
    • EXIT POLL: BJP suffers loss in Rajasthan
    • TDP-BJP-Janasena wave in Andhra
    • Odisha EXIT POLL
    • KERALA EXIT POLL
  • Dadra-Nagar Haveli, Daman-Diu, Chandigarh, Puducherry, Andaman-Nicobar, Lakshadweep

According to the poll, NDA may lose 29 seats in Bihar, Jharkhand, Rajasthan and Maharashtra. There seems to be an upset in Bengal. Here BJP is expected to get 26 to 31 seats out of the total 42 seats. BJP can double its seats in Odisha and Telangana.

According to the NDTV Poll of Polls, the gist of the exit polls, the NDA can reach 365 seats. The gist of these election predictions is that the BJP will move forward strongly in the east and south. In Bengal, the saffron colour is expected to become even stronger. The BJP can get 19 to 31 seats here. However, in the north, it seems to be suffering a slight loss compared to 2019. It has been estimated that the saffron colour will decrease slightly in Delhi, Rajasthan, Haryana, Bihar.

The exit polls have also confirmed the claims of PM Modi and Amit Shah during the elections that BJP will grow strongly in the east and south. According to the polls, BJP will make up for the shortcomings of Gujarat, Rajasthan, Delhi, Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka from the east and south. In Andhra, the picture of BJP’s friendship with Chandrababu Naidu and Pawan Kalyan seems to be a superhit. If these poll surveys prove to be correct, then BJP, TDP and Jana Sena together will do a clean sweep in Andhra.

But there is one state where the contest is the most fierce. The biggest suspense will remain here on 4 June. This state is Maharashtra. The contest is very close between the BJP-Shinde duo and the Uddhav faction. The NDA, which won 41 out of 48 seats in 2019, may lose half of its seats. According to polls, this time the NDA seems to be swinging between 22 and 38.  

The end of Dravidian politics in Tamil Nadu?

If the exit polls turn out to be correct, it will be interesting to see whether the days of Dravidian politics are about to end in Tamil Nadu. Chanakya’s exit poll has predicted that BJP will get a maximum of 14 seats here. If BJP, which has the image of a party of Hindi speaking states, manages to get even 8-10 seats in Tamil Nadu, it will be included in the historical pages of the party. And the party’s image of an all-India party will be truly fulfilled. This will also raise questions on the existence of Dravidian politics that has been going on since 1950. If anyone is truly deserving of this victory, it will be their state president Annamalai, who prepared the ground for the party by taking out padayatras and on the basis of ground issues. He himself is also in the electoral fray from Coimbatore. However, the exit poll of India Today-Axis My India has predicted that he will lose the election to DAK candidate P Ganapathi Rajkumar.

Well, how accurate these exit poll results will prove to be will be known only on June 4. Know how many seats have been predicted for BJP in which state in all the exit polls. 

Now read the state wise seat estimates…

BJP can double its seats in Odisha, Telangana, clean sweep in 8 states

According to the exit poll, NDA can win all the seats in 8 states including Gujarat, MP, Chhattisgarh, Himachal, Delhi, Uttarakhand. At the same time, it can repeat its previous performance in big states like Karnataka, UP. On the other hand, NDA seems to be getting stronger in Maharashtra, Bihar, Jharkhand, Rajasthan and Haryana. BJP can double its seats in Odisha, Telangana.

UP Exit Poll: BJP will go ahead in UP from 2019  

UP (80 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today64-678-120-1
CVoter-ABP62-665-17–
ETG-Times Now69110
Matriz-Republic India69-746-110
Chanakya-News 2461-756-180

Bihar Exit Poll News: NDA’s seats will decrease in Bihar

Bihar (40 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today29-337-100-2
CVoter-ABP34-383-5–
ETG-Times Now3181
Matriz-Republic India32-372-70-1
Chanakya-News 2432-400-80-1

Exit Poll 2024 West Bengal: BJP will give a shock to Mamata in Bengal 

West Bengal (42 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today26-3111-140-2
CVoter-ABP23-2713-171-3
ETG-Times Now21201
Matriz-Republic India21-2516-200-1
Chanakya-News 2419-2912-220-2

EXIT POLL OF MAHARASHTRA

Maharashtra (48 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today28-3216-200-2
CVoter-ABP22-2623-25–
ETG-Times Now26220
Matriz-Republic India30-3613-190
Chanakya-News 2428-3810-200

BJP is surprising in Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu (39 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today2-433-370-2
CVoter-ABP0-237-39–
ETG-Times Now3342
Matriz-Republic India0-335-380-1
Chanakya-News 246-1424-330-2

Karnataka EXIT POLL

Karnataka (28 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today23-253-5–
CVoter-ABP23-253-5–
ETG-Times Now2350
Matriz-Republic India19-235-80
Chanakya-News 2420-280-80

Gujarat EXIT POLL

Gujarat (26 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today25-260-10
CVoter-ABP25-260-10
ETG-Times Now2600
Matriz-Republic India24-260-20
Chanakya-News 2424-260-20

EXIT POLL: BJP suffers loss in Rajasthan

Rajasthan (25 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today16-195-71-2
CVoter-ABP21-232-4–
ETG-Times Now1870
Matriz-Republic India22-240-30-1
Chanakya-News 2419-250-40-2

TDP-BJP-Janasena wave in Andhra

Andhra Pradesh (25 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today21-2302-4
CVoter-ABP21-2500-4
ETG-Times Now11014
Matriz-Republic India19-2203-6
Chanakya-News 2419-2500-6

Odisha EXIT POLL

Odisha (21 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today18-200-10-2
CVoter-ABP17-190-21-3
ETG-Times Now1308
Matriz-Republic India9-120-17-10
Chanakya-News 2413-192-60-2

KERALA EXIT POLL

Kerala (20 seats)BJP+I.N.D.I.AOther
Axis-India Today2-317-190
CVoter-ABP1-317-190
ETG-Times Now1190
Matriz-Republic India0-116-200
Chanakya-News 241-712-190

Dadra-Nagar Haveli, Daman-Diu, Chandigarh, Puducherry, Andaman-Nicobar, Lakshadweep

In the survey of India Today-Axis My India, NDA i.e. BJP is getting seats in both the union territories. In Dadra Nagar Haveli, an independent candidate had won in 2019. In Daman Diu, BJP had won in 2019.

In the exit polls of Chandigarh, two surveys are giving different predictions. In one, BJP candidate is seen getting a lead and in the other, Congress candidate is seen getting a lead. In 2019, BJP had won here. This time BJP seems to be getting an advantage in the only Lok Sabha seat of Puducherry. In Puducherry, Congress candidate had won from here in 2019.

According to the exit polls of 5 survey agencies in Andaman-Nicobar, NDA is getting 1 seat, Congress and others are not getting any seat. Congress had won in Andaman in 2019. Congress seems to be getting an edge in the exit polls of Lakshadweep. NCP had won here in 2019.

TAGGED:BJPCONGRESSElections 2024Exit poll 2024INDIA AllianceLok Sabha Elections 2024NDATop Stories
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ByGiriraj Sharma
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Over 25 years in journalism with interests in politics, society, environment, development, education, health, and emerging tech like AI. [ Former Editor (M&C) Zee Regional Channels | Coordinating Editor, ETV News Network/News18 Regional Channels | State Editor, Patrika Chhattisgarh | Digital Content Head, Patrika.com | Media Consultant | Persona Designer ]
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